Where Tropical Cyclone Murasu is and where it is forecast to go
True-colour daily satellite composite for 2026-11-03 (UTC) from Terra, Aqua, Suomi NPP and NOAA-20, with coastlines; black areas were not scanned that day. White dots: past positions; gold dots and dashed line: forecast positions with their UTC day and hour; red ring: latest position. The track is drawn from the GDACS record of the JTWC advisories and can differ from the satellite image time.
We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS).
| Time (UTC) | Type | Position | Wind (km/h) | Category in GDACS | People in winds of 63 km/h or more | People in winds of 119 km/h or more |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Observed | 12.8°N 83.8°E | 93 | Tropical Storm | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | Observed | 13.6°N 82.6°E | 111 | Tropical Storm | 992,380 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Observed | 13.5°N 81.8°E | 102 | Tropical Storm | 1,598,004 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | Observed | 14.3°N 80.9°E | 120 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 13,196,678 | 783,374 |
| 02 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Observed | 14.7°N 80.7°E | 120 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 13,006,611 | 1,463,825 |
| 02 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | Observed | 15.1°N 80.5°E | 157 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 5,402,449 | 1,353,761 |
| 03 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Observed | 15.5°N 80.3°E | 157 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 6,131,828 | 1,940,986 |
| 03 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | Latest observed | 15.8°N 80.2°E | 120 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 4,060,806 | 1,225,960 |
| 03 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | Forecast | 16.3°N 80.0°E | 65 | Tropical Storm | 1,912,820 | 0 |
| 04 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | Forecast | 16.8°N 79.7°E | 37 | Tropical Depression | 0 | 0 |
How to read this: “Observed” rows are past positions from the warning centre, “Forecast” rows are its official forecast positions and change with every new advisory. Wind figures are maximum sustained winds converted from the advisory (1 knot = 1.852 km/h). The two population columns are GDACS model estimates of how many people live inside winds of at least 39 mph (63 km/h) and 74 mph (119 km/h) at that position.
Official bulletin
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Bulletin | JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04B (MURASU) warning number 010 |
| Issued | 03 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC |
| Position valid at | 03 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC |
| Position | 15.8°N 80.2°E |
| Maximum sustained winds | 65 kt (about 120 km/h), gusts 80 kt (about 148 km/h), one-minute average |
| Movement over the past six hours | north-northwest (340 degrees) at 3 kt |
| Minimum central pressure | 984 mb |
How far the strong winds reach (JTWC wind radii, valid over open water only)
| Winds of at least | Northeast | Southeast | Southwest | Northwest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 kt (119 km/h) | 10 nm (19 km) | 10 nm (19 km) | 10 nm (19 km) | 10 nm (19 km) |
| 50 kt (93 km/h) | 15 nm (28 km) | 15 nm (28 km) | 15 nm (28 km) | 15 nm (28 km) |
| 34 kt (63 km/h) | 30 nm (56 km) | 30 nm (56 km) | 25 nm (46 km) | 25 nm (46 km) |
JTWC forecast
| Lead time | Valid at (UTC) | Position | Maximum sustained winds | Gusts | JTWC note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 h | 03 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | 16.3°N 80.0°E | 35 kt (about 65 km/h) | 45 kt | Dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land |
| 24 h | 04 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | 16.8°N 79.7°E | 20 kt (about 37 km/h) | 30 kt | Dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land |
Read the JTWC warning text word for word
WTIO31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 15.8N 80.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 80.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.3N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.8N 79.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 80.2E.
03NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 618
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED
04B MAKING LANDFALL AT AROUND 030200Z JUST NORTHEAST OF ONGOLE AS A
HIGHLY COMPACT CYCLONE. FOLLOWING LANDFALL, 04B HAS STARTED TO
RAPIDLY DETERIORATE WITH INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AND
WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT
TRACKS FURTHER INLAND. TERRAIN INTERACTION WILL FURTHER ERODE
THE COMPACT VORTEX, WITH DISSIPATION EXEPCTED TO OCCUR NO LATER THAN
TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030600Z IS 984
MB.//
NNNNSource: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, US Navy / US government (public domain). Original text product.
Countries affected and their government advisories
GDACS lists India as affected by Tropical Cyclone Murasu (alert level Red, Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 157 km/h)).
India travel advisories and live alerts
US Level 2 Exercise Increased Caution US State Department
Canada level 2 Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories) Global Affairs Canada
UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the country. FCDO travel advice
Global Affairs Canada said on 2026-11-02: “Natural disasters and climate – added information on cyclone Murasu” source
Advisory levels are the latest ones held in the Travel Live data from the US State Department, Global Affairs Canada and the UK FCDO; the official sources govern.
What to check before you travel
- India: read your own government's latest advice (US State Department, Global Affairs Canada, UK FCDO) and the Travel Live page.
- GDACS states its cyclone notifications are produced automatically, are not reviewed by human experts before issue, and are not meant to substitute or override information or alerts from local or national disaster management authorities. Follow those authorities and your airline, hotel or tour operator for operational changes.
People in the wind field (GDACS estimate)
At the latest position (03 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC) GDACS estimates 4,060,806 people live inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 1,225,960 people inside winds of at least 119 km/h. These are modelled estimates of exposure, not casualty figures.
The highest wind speed in GDACS's record for this storm is 157 km/h.
Quick answers
- How strong is Tropical Cyclone Murasu right now?
- At 03 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported maximum sustained winds of 65 kt (about 120 km/h), gusts to 80 kt, at 15.8°N 80.2°E. Minimum central pressure was 984 mb. GDACS describes the event as: Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 157 km/h).
- Which countries are affected by Tropical Cyclone Murasu?
- GDACS lists India. Their current government advisory levels are in the section above.
- Where is Tropical Cyclone Murasu forecast to go?
- The official forecast points in the GDACS record run from 03 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC (16.3°N 80.0°E) to 04 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC (16.8°N 79.7°E). JTWC's own forecast note for 03 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC reads: Dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land. Forecasts are replaced with each new advisory.
- How many people are in the path of Tropical Cyclone Murasu?
- GDACS estimates 4,060,806 people inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 1,225,960 inside winds of at least 119 km/h at the latest position. These are exposure estimates, not casualty figures.
- Who issues the official warnings and when is the next update?
- Official warnings come from the national meteorological and disaster authorities of each country; the warning centre bulletin is shown above. GDACS adds an automatic impact score and says it is not a substitute for those authorities.
Sources and credits
- Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy, public domain) - warning text, forecast, wind radii
- GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (European Commission Joint Research Centre / United Nations) - alert level, affected countries, track and population estimates, data modified 04 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC, event record. Reuse permitted under CC BY 4.0 with credit to GDACS; GDACS notes that its cyclone notifications are automatic and not reviewed by human experts.
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS). NASA GIBS
- Government advisory levels: US State Department, Global Affairs Canada, UK FCDO, as held in the Travel Live data.
Official sources govern. Voyaggora republishes these records for travellers and does not issue warnings; follow the instructions of local and national authorities and your own government's advice.