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Typhoon Cempaka: what travellers need to know right now

Typhoon Cempaka is active: at 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center put it near 25.0°N 138.0°E with maximum sustained winds of 95 kt (176 km/h) moving east-northeast at 13 kt. GDACS rates the event Green and lists Japan as affected; the table, map, bulletin and government advisories below are rebuilt as the publishers issue new advisories.

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Active: this cyclone is at tropical-storm strength or above and GDACS lists at least one country as affected. Latest observation 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC.
95 ktmaximum sustained winds (about 176 km/h), gusts 115 kt - JTWC, 10 Nov 00:00Z
25.0°N 138.0°Ewarning position, 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
east-northeast at 13 ktmovement over the past six hours (about 24 km/h)
964 mbminimum central pressure, JTWC remarks
GreenGDACS alert level (automatic impact score, not an official warning)

Where Typhoon Cempaka is and where it is forecast to go

Satellite view of Typhoon Cempaka with its track10 Nov 12:00Z11 Nov 00:00Z11 Nov 12:00ZLatest

Infrared satellite image from Himawari-9 taken 10 Nov 2026, 07:10 UTC (NASA GIBS layer, clean infrared band 13: the colder and higher the cloud tops, the brighter or more coloured they appear), with coastlines. White dots: past positions; gold dots and dashed line: forecast positions with their UTC day and hour; red ring: latest position. The track is drawn from the GDACS record of the JTWC advisories and can differ from the satellite image time.
We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS).

Time (UTC)TypePositionWind (km/h)Category in GDACSPeople in winds of 63 km/h or morePeople in winds of 119 km/h or more
08 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTCObserved22.0°N 137.4°E130Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
08 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTCObserved22.4°N 136.5°E120Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
08 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTCObserved22.9°N 135.7°E120Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
09 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCObserved23.8°N 135.0°E139Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
09 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTCObserved24.0°N 134.9°E157Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
09 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTCObserved24.3°N 135.3°E167Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
09 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTCObserved24.6°N 136.6°E176Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCLatest observed25.0°N 138.0°E176Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph3,1130
10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTCForecast26.1°N 141.8°E167Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph3,113934
11 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCForecast27.5°N 146.2°E148Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
11 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTCForecast28.8°N 151.3°E130Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph00
12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTCForecast29.9°N 156.8°E102Tropical Storm00
12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTCForecast31.0°N 161.9°E83Tropical Storm00

How to read this: “Observed” rows are past positions from the warning centre, “Forecast” rows are its official forecast positions and change with every new advisory. Wind figures are maximum sustained winds converted from the advisory (1 knot = 1.852 km/h). The two population columns are GDACS model estimates of how many people live inside winds of at least 39 mph (63 km/h) and 74 mph (119 km/h) at that position.

Official bulletin

ItemValue
BulletinJTWC Typhoon 31W (CEMPAKA) warning number 016
Issued10 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC
Position valid at10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
Position25.0°N 138.0°E
Maximum sustained winds95 kt (about 176 km/h), gusts 115 kt (about 213 km/h), one-minute average
Movement over the past six hourseast-northeast (75 degrees) at 13 kt
Minimum central pressure964 mb
Maximum significant wave height33 ft (about 10.1 m)
Next warnings100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z (UTC day-hour-minute, as written by JTWC)

How far the strong winds reach (JTWC wind radii, valid over open water only)

Winds of at leastNortheastSoutheastSouthwestNorthwest
64 kt (119 km/h)30 nm (56 km)35 nm (65 km)30 nm (56 km)25 nm (46 km)
50 kt (93 km/h)40 nm (74 km)45 nm (83 km)35 nm (65 km)40 nm (74 km)
34 kt (63 km/h)80 nm (148 km)80 nm (148 km)80 nm (148 km)80 nm (148 km)

JTWC forecast

Lead timeValid at (UTC)PositionMaximum sustained windsGustsJTWC note
12 h10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC26.1°N 141.8°E90 kt (about 167 km/h)110 kt
24 h11 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC27.5°N 146.2°E80 kt (about 148 km/h)100 kt
36 h11 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC28.8°N 151.3°E70 kt (about 130 km/h)85 kt
48 h12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC29.9°N 156.8°E55 kt (about 102 km/h)70 ktDissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over water
60 h12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC31.0°N 161.9°E45 kt (about 83 km/h)55 ktDissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over water
Read the JTWC warning text word for word
WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA) WARNING NR 016    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   100000Z --- NEAR 25.0N 138.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 138.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   101200Z --- 26.1N 141.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   110000Z --- 27.5N 146.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z --- 28.8N 151.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z --- 29.9N 156.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   60 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 31.0N 161.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 139.0E. 10NOV26. TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA), 
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED EAST 
NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE AT 100000Z IS 964 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 
100000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 
110300Z.//
NNNN

Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, US Navy / US government (public domain). Original text product.

Countries affected and their government advisories

GDACS lists Japan as affected by Typhoon Cempaka (alert level Green, Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h)).

Japan travel advisories and live alerts

US Level 1 Exercise Normal Precautions US State Department

Canada level 1 Exercise normal security precautions Global Affairs Canada

UK FCDO lists no "advise against travel" warning. FCDO travel advice

Advisory levels are the latest ones held in the Travel Live data from the US State Department, Global Affairs Canada and the UK FCDO; the official sources govern.

What to check before you travel

People in the wind field (GDACS estimate)

At the latest position (10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC) GDACS estimates 3,113 people live inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 0 people inside winds of at least 119 km/h. These are modelled estimates of exposure, not casualty figures.

The highest wind speed in GDACS's record for this storm is 176 km/h.

Quick answers

How strong is Typhoon Cempaka right now?
At 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported maximum sustained winds of 95 kt (about 176 km/h), gusts to 115 kt, at 25.0°N 138.0°E. Minimum central pressure was 964 mb. GDACS describes the event as: Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h).
Which countries are affected by Typhoon Cempaka?
GDACS lists Japan. Their current government advisory levels are in the section above.
Where is Typhoon Cempaka forecast to go?
The official forecast points in the GDACS record run from 10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC (26.1°N 141.8°E) to 12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC (31.0°N 161.9°E). JTWC's own forecast note for 12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC reads: Dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over water. Forecasts are replaced with each new advisory.
How many people are in the path of Typhoon Cempaka?
GDACS estimates 3,113 people inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 0 inside winds of at least 119 km/h at the latest position. These are exposure estimates, not casualty figures.
Who issues the official warnings and when is the next update?
Official warnings come from the national meteorological and disaster authorities of each country; the warning centre bulletin is shown above and JTWC says its next warnings are due at 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z (UTC day-hour-minute). GDACS adds an automatic impact score and says it is not a substitute for those authorities.

Sources and credits

Official sources govern. Voyaggora republishes these records for travellers and does not issue warnings; follow the instructions of local and national authorities and your own government's advice.