Where Typhoon Cempaka is and where it is forecast to go
Infrared satellite image from Himawari-9 taken 10 Nov 2026, 07:10 UTC (NASA GIBS layer, clean infrared band 13: the colder and higher the cloud tops, the brighter or more coloured they appear), with coastlines. White dots: past positions; gold dots and dashed line: forecast positions with their UTC day and hour; red ring: latest position. The track is drawn from the GDACS record of the JTWC advisories and can differ from the satellite image time.
We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS).
| Time (UTC) | Type | Position | Wind (km/h) | Category in GDACS | People in winds of 63 km/h or more | People in winds of 119 km/h or more |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | Observed | 22.0°N 137.4°E | 130 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Observed | 22.4°N 136.5°E | 120 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | Observed | 22.9°N 135.7°E | 120 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Observed | 23.8°N 135.0°E | 139 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC | Observed | 24.0°N 134.9°E | 157 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Observed | 24.3°N 135.3°E | 167 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC | Observed | 24.6°N 136.6°E | 176 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Latest observed | 25.0°N 138.0°E | 176 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 3,113 | 0 |
| 10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Forecast | 26.1°N 141.8°E | 167 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 3,113 | 934 |
| 11 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Forecast | 27.5°N 146.2°E | 148 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Forecast | 28.8°N 151.3°E | 130 | Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | Forecast | 29.9°N 156.8°E | 102 | Tropical Storm | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | Forecast | 31.0°N 161.9°E | 83 | Tropical Storm | 0 | 0 |
How to read this: “Observed” rows are past positions from the warning centre, “Forecast” rows are its official forecast positions and change with every new advisory. Wind figures are maximum sustained winds converted from the advisory (1 knot = 1.852 km/h). The two population columns are GDACS model estimates of how many people live inside winds of at least 39 mph (63 km/h) and 74 mph (119 km/h) at that position.
Official bulletin
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Bulletin | JTWC Typhoon 31W (CEMPAKA) warning number 016 |
| Issued | 10 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC |
| Position valid at | 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC |
| Position | 25.0°N 138.0°E |
| Maximum sustained winds | 95 kt (about 176 km/h), gusts 115 kt (about 213 km/h), one-minute average |
| Movement over the past six hours | east-northeast (75 degrees) at 13 kt |
| Minimum central pressure | 964 mb |
| Maximum significant wave height | 33 ft (about 10.1 m) |
| Next warnings | 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z (UTC day-hour-minute, as written by JTWC) |
How far the strong winds reach (JTWC wind radii, valid over open water only)
| Winds of at least | Northeast | Southeast | Southwest | Northwest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 kt (119 km/h) | 30 nm (56 km) | 35 nm (65 km) | 30 nm (56 km) | 25 nm (46 km) |
| 50 kt (93 km/h) | 40 nm (74 km) | 45 nm (83 km) | 35 nm (65 km) | 40 nm (74 km) |
| 34 kt (63 km/h) | 80 nm (148 km) | 80 nm (148 km) | 80 nm (148 km) | 80 nm (148 km) |
JTWC forecast
| Lead time | Valid at (UTC) | Position | Maximum sustained winds | Gusts | JTWC note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 h | 10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | 26.1°N 141.8°E | 90 kt (about 167 km/h) | 110 kt | |
| 24 h | 11 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | 27.5°N 146.2°E | 80 kt (about 148 km/h) | 100 kt | |
| 36 h | 11 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | 28.8°N 151.3°E | 70 kt (about 130 km/h) | 85 kt | |
| 48 h | 12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC | 29.9°N 156.8°E | 55 kt (about 102 km/h) | 70 kt | Dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over water |
| 60 h | 12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC | 31.0°N 161.9°E | 45 kt (about 83 km/h) | 55 kt | Dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over water |
Read the JTWC warning text word for word
WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 25.0N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 138.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 26.1N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 27.5N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 28.8N 151.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 29.9N 156.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 31.0N 161.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 25.3N 139.0E. 10NOV26. TYPHOON 31W (CEMPAKA),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED EAST
NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 100000Z IS 964 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
100000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND
110300Z.//
NNNNSource: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, US Navy / US government (public domain). Original text product.
Countries affected and their government advisories
GDACS lists Japan as affected by Typhoon Cempaka (alert level Green, Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h)).
Japan travel advisories and live alerts
US Level 1 Exercise Normal Precautions US State Department
Canada level 1 Exercise normal security precautions Global Affairs Canada
UK FCDO lists no "advise against travel" warning. FCDO travel advice
Advisory levels are the latest ones held in the Travel Live data from the US State Department, Global Affairs Canada and the UK FCDO; the official sources govern.
What to check before you travel
- Japan: read your own government's latest advice (US State Department, Global Affairs Canada, UK FCDO) and the Travel Live page.
- JTWC states its next warnings are due at 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z (UTC, day-hour-minute); the forecast above is replaced each time.
- GDACS states its cyclone notifications are produced automatically, are not reviewed by human experts before issue, and are not meant to substitute or override information or alerts from local or national disaster management authorities. Follow those authorities and your airline, hotel or tour operator for operational changes.
People in the wind field (GDACS estimate)
At the latest position (10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC) GDACS estimates 3,113 people live inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 0 people inside winds of at least 119 km/h. These are modelled estimates of exposure, not casualty figures.
The highest wind speed in GDACS's record for this storm is 176 km/h.
Quick answers
- How strong is Typhoon Cempaka right now?
- At 10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported maximum sustained winds of 95 kt (about 176 km/h), gusts to 115 kt, at 25.0°N 138.0°E. Minimum central pressure was 964 mb. GDACS describes the event as: Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h).
- Which countries are affected by Typhoon Cempaka?
- GDACS lists Japan. Their current government advisory levels are in the section above.
- Where is Typhoon Cempaka forecast to go?
- The official forecast points in the GDACS record run from 10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC (26.1°N 141.8°E) to 12 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC (31.0°N 161.9°E). JTWC's own forecast note for 12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC reads: Dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over water. Forecasts are replaced with each new advisory.
- How many people are in the path of Typhoon Cempaka?
- GDACS estimates 3,113 people inside winds of at least 63 km/h and 0 inside winds of at least 119 km/h at the latest position. These are exposure estimates, not casualty figures.
- Who issues the official warnings and when is the next update?
- Official warnings come from the national meteorological and disaster authorities of each country; the warning centre bulletin is shown above and JTWC says its next warnings are due at 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z (UTC day-hour-minute). GDACS adds an automatic impact score and says it is not a substitute for those authorities.
Sources and credits
- Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy, public domain) - warning text, forecast, wind radii
- GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (European Commission Joint Research Centre / United Nations) - alert level, affected countries, track and population estimates, data modified 10 Nov 2026, 05:50 UTC, event record. Reuse permitted under CC BY 4.0 with credit to GDACS; GDACS notes that its cyclone notifications are automatic and not reviewed by human experts.
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS). NASA GIBS
- Government advisory levels: US State Department, Global Affairs Canada, UK FCDO, as held in the Travel Live data.
Official sources govern. Voyaggora republishes these records for travellers and does not issue warnings; follow the instructions of local and national authorities and your own government's advice.